# Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?". March 31, 2027 leads at 39.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 20.5%. $9K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:37:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $9K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| March 31, 2027 | 39.5% | 39.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 20.5% | 20.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bogdan Święczkowski is reinstated as President of the Constitutional Tribunal of Poland by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If Bogdan Święczkowski is otherwise permanently removed from office, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify as reinstated, Święczkowski must officially regain his powers as President of the Constitutional Tribunal and no longer be suspended from office.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Government of Poland, specifically the Constitutional Tribunal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/święczkowski-reinstated-as-constitutional-tribunal-president-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/swieczkowski-reinstated-as-constitutional-tribunal-president-by?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/święczkowski-reinstated-as-constitutional-tribunal-president-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.