# # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Strikes): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Strikes)". 110M leads at 75.7%. Next is 110-120M at 10.5%. $2K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:22:41Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 110M | 75.7% | 86.5% |
| 110-120M | 10.5% | 12% |
| 120-130M | 4% | 4.6% |
| 130-140M | 3.8% | 4.3% |
| 140-150M | 3.8% | 4.4% |
| 150M+ | 2.2% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the number of views the YouTube video "$250,000 Hunger Games In Real Life" by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers only to the video "$250,000 Hunger Games In Real Life" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6fgVVmdpgY).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/-of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-week-1-higher-strikes
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-week-1-higher-strikes-hunger-games-20261114?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/-of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-week-1-higher-strikes

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.