# #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 14, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 14, 2026?". Choosin' Texas leads at 80.3%. Next is Babydoll at 0.8%. $9K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:28:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $9K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Choosin' Texas | 80.3% | 98.4% | 99% | 0.6 pts |
| Babydoll | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| BbY WOW | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| BE HER | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Been By Now | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Boston | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Disturbia | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Dracula | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Earrings | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Ghostbusters | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| hate that i made you love me | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| I Just Might | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| JADED | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| LOVING LIFE AGAIN | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Midnight Sun | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Monster Mash | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Nicole Kidman | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Psycho Killer | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Risk It All | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Somebody's Watching Me | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Spooky, Scary Skeletons | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| stupid song | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| This Is Halloween | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| HOUSEWIFE | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
| expectations | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1% | 0.8 pts |
| Lies | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1% | 0.8 pts |
| Patient Zero | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1% | 0.9 pts |
| Thriller | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1% | 0.9 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Billboard](https://www.billboard.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/1-on-the-billboard-hot-100-chart-for-the-week-of-nov-14-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-hot-100-1-song-week-of-november-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopsong?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/1-on-the-billboard-hot-100-chart-for-the-week-of-nov-14-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.