# 120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo". Jeffries & Schumer leads at 86.2%. Next is Jeffries & Van Hollen at 8.6%. $1K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:18:41Z (16 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2028
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Jeffries & Schumer | 86.2% | 90% |
| Jeffries & Van Hollen | 8.6% | 9% |
| Pressley & Van Hollen | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Pressley & Schumer | 1.9% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives](https://clerk.house.gov/Votes), [U.S. Senate](https://www.senate.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/120th-congress-speaker-senate-majority-leader-combo
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspeakermajleadcombo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/120th-congress-speaker-senate-majority-leader-combo

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.