# 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?". Elizabeth Warren leads at 30%. Next is Cory Booker at 29.5%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:45:40Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Elizabeth Warren | 30% | 31% |
| Cory Booker | 29.5% | 30.5% |
| Elissa Slotkin | 10.9% | 11.3% |
| Andy Kim | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Mark Warner | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Adam Schiff | 5.8% | 6% |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Patty Murray | 4.9% | 5.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Senate Democrats](https://www.democrats.senate.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/120th-congress-who-will-be-the-no-3-senate-democrat
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemno3?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/120th-congress-who-will-be-the-no-3-senate-democrat

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.