# 1win Essence III: Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "1win Essence III: Winner". Team Spirit leads at 42.5%. Next is Team Liquid at 19.8%. $3K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:59:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Team Spirit | 42.5% | 48% |
| Team Liquid | 19.8% | 22.4% |
| PARIVISION | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| 1w Team | 11.9% | 13.5% |
| Aurora Gaming | 3% | 3.4% |
| GamerLegion | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| BetBoom Team | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| LGD Gaming | 0.9% | 1.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of 1win Essence III, currently scheduled for November 12 to November 18, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BASED Esports / 1win Essence; however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/1win_Essence/3) may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/1win-essence-iii-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/1win-essence-iii-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/1win-essence-iii-winner

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.