# #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 14, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 14, 2026?". HOUSEWIFE leads at 74.1%. Next is Dracula at 10%. $18K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:15:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOUSEWIFE | 74.1% | 76.2% | 68% | 8.1 pts |
| Dracula | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Thriller | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1% | 2.1 pts |
| Choosin' Texas | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1% | 2.7 pts |
| expectations | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Patient Zero | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Babydoll | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| BbY WOW | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| BE HER | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Been By Now | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Boston | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Disturbia | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Earrings | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Ghostbusters | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| hate that i made you love me | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| I Just Might | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| JADED | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| LOVING LIFE AGAIN | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Midnight Sun | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Monster Mash | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Nicole Kidman | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Psycho Killer | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Risk It All | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Somebody's Watching Me | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Spooky, Scary Skeletons | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| stupid song | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| This Is Halloween | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Lies | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.4 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Billboard](https://www.billboard.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/2-on-the-billboard-hot-100-chart-for-the-week-of-nov-14-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-hot-100-2-song-week-of-november-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbillboardrunnerupsong?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/2-on-the-billboard-hot-100-chart-for-the-week-of-nov-14-2026

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.