# 2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick". Tyran Stokes leads at 45.9%. Next is Braylon Mullins at 21.3%. $11K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 9, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-03T08:47:21Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 9, 2027
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Tyran Stokes | 45.9% | 36.7% | 49% | 12.3 pts |
| Braylon Mullins | 21.3% | 37.6% | 5% | 32.6 pts |
| Amari Allen | 18.4% | 34.8% | 2% | 32.8 pts |
| Hugo Yimga-Moukouri | 15.5% | 24% | 4% | 19.9 pts |
| Jordan Smith Jr. | 12.5% | 10.9% | 13% | 2.1 pts |
| Caleb Holt | 12.5% | 10.9% | 13% | 2.1 pts |
| Thomas Haugh | 9.5% | 13.9% | 8% | 5.9 pts |
| Bruce Branch III | 8.4% | 5.2% | 12% | 6.8 pts |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 7% | 9.6% | 6% | 3.6 pts |
| Colben Landrew | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4% | 4.5 pts |
| Cameron Williams | 6% | 5.9% | 6% | 0.1 pts |
| Dylan Mingo | 4.9% | 7.7% | 2% | 5.7 pts |
| Baba Oladotun | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4% | 0.7 pts |
| Motiejus Krivas | 2.7% | 3% | 2.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Brandon McCoy | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1% | 1.8 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nba.com), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first overall pick in the 2027 NBA Draft. If the player selected is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

If the 2027 NBA Draft is cancelled, or the first overall selection is not definitively known by July 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2027 NBA Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/2027-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2027-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbadraftpick?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/2027-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.