# 2029 inflation × 2028 winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "2029 inflation × 2028 winner". Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below leads at 21.9%. Next is Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below at 20.8%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 28, 2030.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:47:48Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 28, 2030
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 21.9% | 19.5% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 10.1% | 9% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 7.8% | 7% |
| Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below | 7.3% | 6.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://www.bls.gov/cpi/), [Office of the Presidency](https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-of-the-president/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/2029-inflation-2028-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcpipartycombo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/2029-inflation-2028-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
