# 2030 Mexico Presidential election winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "2030 Mexico Presidential election winner?". Omar García Harfuch leads at 12%. Next is Clara Brugada at 5.5%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 2, 2031.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:09:40Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 2, 2031
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Omar García Harfuch | 12% | 12% |
| Clara Brugada | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Marcelo Ebrard | 5% | 5% |
| Ricardo Salinas Pliego | 5% | 5% |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Samuel García | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Gerardo Fernández Noroña | 3% | 3% |
| Mara Lezama | 3% | 3% |
| Ricardo Anaya | 3% | 3% |
| Alejandro Moreno | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Andrés López Beltrán | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Lilly Téllez | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Mauricio Kuri | 2.5% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Instituto Nacional Electoral](https://www.ine.mx/), [Tribunal Electoral del Poder Judicial de la Federación](https://www.te.gob.mx/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/2030-mexico-presidential-election-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmexicopres?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/2030-mexico-presidential-election-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.