# 334: Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "334: Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes". Kayla Harrison leads at 64%. Next is Decision or Draw at 50%. $38K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:09:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 17, 2026
- Volume traded: $38K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Kayla Harrison | 64% | — | 64% | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 1 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 2 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 3 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 4 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harrison to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 1 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 2 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 3 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 4 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nunes to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DAZN](https://www.dazn.com/en-US), [Tapology](https://www.tapology.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/334-kayla-harrison-vs-amanda-nunes
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ama1-kay4-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcfight?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/334-kayla-harrison-vs-amanda-nunes

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.