# 3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?". Microsoft leads at 89.4%. Next is Alphabet at 7.2%. $13K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:22:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $13K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Microsoft | 89.4% | 91.5% |
| Alphabet | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| NVIDIA | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Apple | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Broadcom | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| SpaceX | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Amazon | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meta | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tesla | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| TSMC | 0% | 0.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.