# 4th Round Head-to-Head: Norris vs Otaegui: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "4th Round Head-to-Head: Norris vs Otaegui". Shaun Norris beats Adrian Otaegui in the 4th Round leads at 98%. Next is Adrian Otaegui beats Shaun Norris in the 4th Round at 2%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T08:38:41Z (23 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Shaun Norris beats Adrian Otaegui in the 4th Round | 98% | 97% |
| Adrian Otaegui beats Shaun Norris in the 4th Round | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DP World Tour](https://www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/4th-round-head-to-head-norris-vs-otaegui
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpwth2h?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/4th-round-head-to-head-norris-vs-otaegui

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.