# Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 3 Leader: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 3 Leader". Jon Rahm leads at 15%. Next is Rory McIlroy at 15%. $1K has traded across 70 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T21:48:03Z (20 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Jon Rahm | 15% | 19% |
| Rory McIlroy | 15% | 19% |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Francesco Laporta | 10.3% | 13% |
| Matthew Jordan | 5.9% | 7.5% |
| Adrian Meronk | 5.1% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bairstow | 4.3% | 5.5% |
| David Puig | 3.1% | 4% |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 2.3% | 3% |
| Adam Scott | 1.6% | 2% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| Jayden Schaper | 0.8% | 1% |
| Manuel Elvira | 0.8% | 1% |
| Nacho Elvira | 0.8% | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Otaegui | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Andy Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Angel Ayora Fanegas | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Angel Hidalgo | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Rozner | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Calum Hill | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Casey Jarvis | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Dan Bradbury | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hillier | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Rodrigues | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Darius Van Driel | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Davis Bryant | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Ewen Ferguson | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Filippo Celli | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Francesco Molinari | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Freddy Schott | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Frederic Lacroix | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Grant Forrest | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Gregorio De Leo | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Guido Migliozzi | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Hennie Du Plessis | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| JC Ritchie | 0.4% | 0.5% |

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DP World Tour](https://www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-end-of-round-3-leader
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpworldtourr3lead?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-end-of-round-3-leader

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.