# Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 10 Finishers: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 10 Finishers". Angel Ayora Fanegas leads at 50%. Next is Dan Bradbury at 49.5%. $16K has traded across 94 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T05:57:03Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $16K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Angel Ayora Fanegas | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| Dan Bradbury | 49.5% | — | 49.5% | not on both |
| Oihan Guillamoundeguy | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Yanhan Zhou | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Marco Penge | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Romain Langasque | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Joel Girrbach | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Todd Clements | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| David Ravetto | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Marcus Kinhult | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Sean Crocker | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Brandon Stone | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| David Law | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Kazuma Kobori | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Matteo Manassero | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Rafael Cabrera | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Thomas Detry | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Tom McKibbin | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Francesco Laporta | 33.9% | 19.8% | 76% | 56.2 pts |
| Johannes Veerman | 30.5% | 30.5% | — | not on both |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 29.2% | 6% | 52.5% | 46.6 pts |
| Jon Rahm | 28.4% | 15.3% | 68% | 52.8 pts |
| Sam Bairstow | 26.6% | 4.8% | 48.5% | 43.8 pts |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 26.5% | 2% | 51% | 49.0 pts |
| Julien Guerrier | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |
| Adrian Otaegui | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |
| Hennie Du Plessis | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |
| Jorge Campillo | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |
| Jordan Gumberg | 25.7% | 2.5% | 49% | 46.5 pts |
| David Puig | 25.6% | 1.2% | 50% | 48.8 pts |
| Daniel Rodrigues | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Davis Bryant | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Filippo Celli | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Grant Forrest | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Guido Migliozzi | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Joakim Lagergren | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Ugo Coussaud | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Yurav Premlall | 25.5% | 2.1% | 49% | 46.9 pts |
| Francesco Molinari | 25.4% | 1.3% | 49.5% | 48.2 pts |

Showing the top 40 of 94 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [europeantour.com](https://www.europeantour.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [DP World Tour](https://www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-top-10-finishers
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/dpwt-2026-abu-dhabi-championship-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpwttop10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-top-10-finishers

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.