# Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 20 Finishers: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 20 Finishers". Francesco Laporta leads at 55.7%. Next is Angel Ayora Fanegas at 49.5%. $16K has traded across 94 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T05:58:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $16K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Francesco Laporta | 55.7% | 19.8% | 91.5% | 71.7 pts |
| Angel Ayora Fanegas | 49.5% | — | 49.5% | not on both |
| Dan Bradbury | 49.5% | — | 49.5% | not on both |
| Niklas Norgaard | 49% | — | 49% | not on both |
| Joe Dean | 43% | — | 43% | not on both |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 41% | 6% | 76% | 70.0 pts |
| Aaron Rai | 39.2% | 3.9% | 74.5% | 70.6 pts |
| Sam Bairstow | 38.6% | 4.8% | 72.5% | 67.8 pts |
| Oihan Guillamoundeguy | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Yanhan Zhou | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Matthew Jordan | 38.1% | 4.2% | 72% | 67.8 pts |
| Adam Scott | 37.3% | 3.6% | 71% | 67.5 pts |
| Nacho Elvira | 37% | — | 37% | not on both |
| Marco Penge | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Romain Langasque | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Joel Girrbach | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Todd Clements | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| David Ravetto | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Marcus Kinhult | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Sean Crocker | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Adrian Meronk | 35.2% | 4.5% | 66% | 61.6 pts |
| Brandon Stone | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| David Law | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Kazuma Kobori | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Matteo Manassero | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Rafael Cabrera | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Thomas Detry | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Tom McKibbin | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Matt Wallace | 33.2% | 3% | 63.5% | 60.6 pts |
| Jon Rahm | 33.2% | 15.3% | 87% | 71.8 pts |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 31.3% | 4.1% | 62% | 57.9 pts |
| JC Ritchie | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Johannes Veerman | 30.5% | 30.5% | — | not on both |
| Jayden Schaper | 27.7% | 1.8% | 53.5% | 51.7 pts |
| Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | 27.5% | 5.6% | 49.5% | 44.0 pts |
| Antoine Rozner | 26.9% | 1.8% | 52% | 50.3 pts |
| Adrian Otaegui | 26% | 2.1% | 50% | 47.9 pts |
| Julien Guerrier | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |
| Daniel Rodrigues | 25.8% | 2.1% | 49.5% | 47.4 pts |

Showing the top 40 of 94 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [europeantour.com](https://www.europeantour.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [DP World Tour](https://www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-top-20-finishers
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/dpwt-2026-abu-dhabi-championship-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpwttop20?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-top-20-finishers

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.