# Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner". Rory McIlroy leads at 12.2%. Next is Tommy Fleetwood at 8.1%. $1.7M has traded across 70 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:15:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1.7M
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Rory McIlroy | 12.2% | 13% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Adam Scott | 5% | 5.3% |
| Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| Jon Rahm | 4.1% | 4.4% |
| Daniel Hillier | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Aaron Rai | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Matt Wallace | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 2.8% | 3% |
| Patrick Reed | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Casey Jarvis | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Ewen Ferguson | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Adrian Meronk | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Martin Couvra | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Victor Perez | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Jayden Schaper | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Jordan | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Antoine Rozner | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| David Puig | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Francesco Laporta | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Nacho Elvira | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Angel Ayora | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Niklas Norgaard | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Lindell | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 1% | 1.1% |
| Angel Hidalgo | 1% | 1.1% |
| Joost Luiten | 1% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bairstow | 1% | 1.1% |
| Frederic LaCroix | 0.9% | 1% |
| Joe Dean | 0.9% | 1% |
| Thriston Lawrence | 0.9% | 1% |
| Tom Vaillant | 0.9% | 1% |
| Gregorio De Leo | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Jeff Winther | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Otaegui | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Andy Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Dan Bradbury | 0.7% | 0.8% |

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [DP World Tour](https://www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpworldtour?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.