# Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q2 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q2 2027". Above $17 billion leads at 94%. Next is Above $16 billion at 93%. $9K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 4, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:14:40Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 4, 2027
- Volume traded: $9K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $17 billion | 94% | 94% |
| Above $16 billion | 93% | 93% |
| Above $17.5 billion | 86% | 86% |
| Above $18 billion | 79% | 79% |
| Above $18.5 billion | 44% | 44% |
| Above $19 billion | 21% | 21% |
| Above $20 billion | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/affirm-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q2-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafrm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/affirm-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q2-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.