# Aguilera Guerrero vs Moreno Rico: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Aguilera Guerrero vs Moreno Rico". Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero leads at 95%. Next is Yes at 93%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T21:53:05Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Yes | 93% | 93% | — | not on both |
| Francisco Moreno Rico | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/aguilera-guerrero-vs-moreno-rico
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-guerre2-rico1-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/aguilera-guerrero-vs-moreno-rico

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.