# AI app downloads array index in October 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "AI app downloads array index in October 2026". Above 300 leads at 99%. Next is Above 350 at 99%. $21K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:04:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $21K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 300 | 99% | 99% |
| Above 350 | 99% | 99% |
| Above 400 | 98.5% | 98.5% |
| Above 450 | 98.5% | 98.5% |
| Above 500 | 98% | 98% |
| Above 550 | 98% | 98% |
| Above 575 | 98% | 98% |
| Above 600 | 96% | 96% |
| Above 625 | 14% | 14% |
| Above 700 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 650 | 2% | 2% |
| Above 750 | 2% | 2% |
| Above 800 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Carbon Arc](https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=7892a60d-ce75-4eba-98aa-460b93a4f33b&entity=AI+Chat+Apps).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ai-app-downloads-array-index-in-october-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaiapparray?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ai-app-downloads-array-index-in-october-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.