# Alaska Governor margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Governor margin of victory". Republicans, 2+ pts leads at 1%. Next is Republicans, 18+ pts at 1%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:14:00Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Republicans, 2+ pts | 1% | 1% |
| Republicans, 18+ pts | 1% | 1% |
| Republicans, 10+ pts | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Republicans, 6+ pts | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Republicans, 14+ pts | 0.5% | 0.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Alaska Division of Elections](https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alaska-governor-margin-of-victory-1
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alaska-governor-margin-of-victory-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.