# Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)". At least 1% leads at 93%. Next is At least 1.5% at 72%. $27K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:40:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $27K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 1% | 93% | 93% |
| At least 1.5% | 72% | 72% |
| At least 2.5% | 14% | 14% |
| At least 2% | 10% | 10% |
| At least 3% | 3% | 3% |
| At least 4% | 1% | 1% |
| At least 5% | 1% | 1% |
| At least 6% | 1% | 1% |
| At least 7% | 1% | 1% |
| At least 8% | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Alaska Division of Elections](https://www.elections.alaska.gov/election-results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alaska-senate-election-daniel-j-sullivan-jr-vote-percent-1st-round
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alaska-senate-election-daniel-j-sullivan-jr-vote-percent-1st-round

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.