# Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?". Yes leads at 88%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 6, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:04:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 6, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 88% | 88% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [senate.gov](https://www.senate.gov/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alaska-senator-sworn-in-by-january-5
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senator-sworn-in-by-january-5?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alaska-senator-sworn-in-by-january-5

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.