# Alateng Heili vs Juan Diaz: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alateng Heili vs Juan Diaz: Method of Victory". Juan Diaz by Decision leads at 46.2%. Next is Juan Diaz by KO/TKO/DQ at 19.2%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T04:51:40Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Juan Diaz by Decision | 46.2% | 48% |
| Juan Diaz by KO/TKO/DQ | 19.2% | 20% |
| Alateng Heili by Decision | 13.5% | 14% |
| Juan Diaz by Submission | 13.5% | 14% |
| Alateng Heili by KO/TKO/DQ | 4.8% | 5% |
| Alateng Heili by Submission | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Draw/No Contest | 1.4% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alateng-heili-vs-juan-diaz-method-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alateng-heili-vs-juan-diaz-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.