# Alice Huang federally charged by?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alice Huang federally charged by?". March 31, 2027 leads at 16.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 7.5%. $38K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:11:40Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $38K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| March 31, 2027 | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 7.5% | 7.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed.

Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alice-huang-federally-charged-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alice-huang-federally-charged-by?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alice-huang-federally-charged-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.