# "All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 26, 2026): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for ""All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 26, 2026)". Rank 1 to 2 leads at 84.3%. Next is Rank 3 to 4 at 5.9%. $5K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:41:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 21, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Rank 1 to 2 | 84.3% | 86% |
| Rank 3 to 4 | 5.9% | 6% |
| Rank 5 to 6 | 1.9% | 2% |
| Rank 7 to 10 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 11 to 15 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 16 to 20 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 21 to 30 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 31 to 40 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 41 to 50 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 51 to 74 | 1% | 1% |
| Rank 75 to 100 | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Billboard](https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/all-i-want-for-christmas-is-you-billboard-hot-100-rank-dec-26-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/all-i-want-for-christmas-is-you-billboard-hot-100-rank-dec-26-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.