# Alvark Tokyo vs. Nagasaki Velca: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Alvark Tokyo vs. Nagasaki Velca". Alvark Tokyo leads at 82%. Next is Yes at 80%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T02:28:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alvark Tokyo | 82% | — | 82% | not on both |
| Yes | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Nagasaki Velca | 20% | — | 20% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bleague.jp](https://www.bleague.jp/en/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Sofascore](https://www.sofascore.com/basketball/tournament/japan/bleague/1502#id:77915), [Flashscore](https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/japan/b-league/#/0CsKaLp1/standings/overall/).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming Japan B League game between Alvark Tokyo and Nagasaki Velca, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 5:05 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Alvark Tokyo win, the market will resolve to "Alvark Tokyo".
If the Nagasaki Velca win, the market will resolve to "Nagasaki Velca".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/alvark-tokyo-vs-nagasaki-velca
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bkjpn-alv-nag2-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjbleaguegame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/alvark-tokyo-vs-nagasaki-velca

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.