# Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” Sale Price: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” Sale Price". 43m+ leads at 27.1%. Next is 28m-$33m at 24.6%. $3K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:12:21Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 43m+ | 27.1% | 28% |
| 28m-$33m | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| 33m-$38m | 19.8% | 20.5% |
| 38m-$43m | 19.3% | 20% |
| 28m | 9.2% | 9.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” (Lot 9) is expected to be sold at Phillips' Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale on November 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$28m".

The market will resolve according to the final listed “Sold For” price on Phillips (https://www.phillips.com/detail/amedeo-modigliani/241743).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/amedeo-modiglianis-tête-sale-price
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/modigliani-tete-sale-price?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/amedeo-modiglianis-tête-sale-price

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
