# AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent". At least 32% leads at 52%. Next is At least 24% at 51%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:21:00Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 32% | 52% | 52% |
| At least 24% | 51% | 51% |
| At least 26% | 51% | 51% |
| At least 28% | 51% | 51% |
| At least 30% | 51% | 51% |
| At least 40% | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| At least 34% | 37% | 37% |
| At least 38% | 12% | 12% |
| At least 36% | 9% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Little Rock, AR](https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ar-04-house-election-james-russell-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ar-04-house-election-james-russell-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.