# Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (November 2026): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (November 2026)". Above 13M leads at 99%. Next is Above 13.5M at 97%. $8K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:08:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 4, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 13M | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 13.5M | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Above 14M | 71% | — | 71% | not on both |
| 14.5M | 66% | 66% | — | not on both |
| Above 14.5M | 60.5% | — | 60.5% | not on both |
| Above 15.5M | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Above 15M | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Above 16M | 52% | — | 52% | not on both |
| Above 16.5M | 46.5% | — | 46.5% | not on both |
| Above 18.5M | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Above 18M | 43.5% | — | 43.5% | not on both |
| Above 19M | 43.5% | — | 43.5% | not on both |
| Above 17M | 43% | — | 43% | not on both |
| Above 17.5M | 41.5% | — | 41.5% | not on both |
| 14.75M | 39.5% | 39.5% | — | not on both |
| 15.5M | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 19.5M | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| 15M | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| 15.25M | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Above 20M | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [YouTube Charts](https://charts.youtube.com/US).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ariana-grande-highest-daily-view-count-november-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-daily-view-count-hits-in-november?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxytviewshigh?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ariana-grande-highest-daily-view-count-november-2026

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.