# Arizona Governor General Election: voter turnout: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Arizona Governor General Election: voter turnout". Above 3.1M leads at 89%. Next is Above 2M at 87%. $29K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:20:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $29K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 3.1M | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Above 2M | 87% | — | 87% | not on both |
| Above 2.4M | 76% | — | 76% | not on both |
| Above 2.3M | 75% | — | 75% | not on both |
| Above 2.6M | 59% | — | 59% | not on both |
| Above 2.7M | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Above 2.8M | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| 2.6M-2.75M | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| 2.45M-2.6M | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| 3.05M-3.2M | 37.9% | 37.9% | — | not on both |
| 2.75M-2.9M | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.3M-2.45M | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.9M-3.05M | 8.3% | 8.3% | — | not on both |
| 3.2M+ | 4.7% | 4.7% | — | not on both |
| Above 2.9M | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| 2.15M-2.3M | 2.2% | 2.2% | — | not on both |
| Above 3.3M | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| 2M | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| 2M-2.15M | 0.3% | 0.3% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Arizona Secretary of State](https://azsos.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/arizona-governor-general-election-voter-turnout
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-election-turnout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermvoteturn?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/arizona-governor-general-election-voter-turnout

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.