# Arizona State Treasurer winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Arizona State Treasurer winner?". Nick Mansour leads at 97.9%. Next is Elijah Norton at 2.1%. $10K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:04:00Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $10K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Nick Mansour | 97.9% | 95% |
| Elijah Norton | 2.1% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Arizona Secretary of State](https://azsos.gov/elections/election-information/2026-election-info).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/arizona-state-treasurer-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaztreasrgen?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/arizona-state-treasurer-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.