# Arkansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Arkansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". John Boozman leads at 60.3%. Next is Tim Griffin at 9.4%. $2K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:49:25Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| John Boozman | 60.3% | 59% |
| Tim Griffin | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Leslie Rutledge | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Bruce Westerman | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Rick Crawford | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Jake Bequette | 6.9% | 6.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Republican Party of Arkansas](https://www.arkansasgop.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/arkansas-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/arkansas-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.