# Arsenal vs Dortmund: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Arsenal vs Dortmund". Arsenal leads at 71%. Next is Arsenal FC at 69.5%. $65K has traded across 43 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 26, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T04:21:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 26, 2026
- Volume traded: $65K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Arsenal | 71% | — | 71% | not on both |
| Arsenal FC | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 4 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 4 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 3 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 4 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 4 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 4 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 4 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Draw (Arsenal FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 17% | 17% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 16% | 16% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 3 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14% | 14% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 4 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 4 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 11% | 11% | — | not on both |
| Dortmund | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 9.5% | 9.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 3 - 0 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 3 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 5 - 5 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 0 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Arsenal FC 2 - 4 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 43 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/arsenal-vs-dortmund
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-ars-bvb-2026-11-24?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuclgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/arsenal-vs-dortmund

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.