# Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac: Game Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac: Game Spread". Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac leads at 100%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac at 100%. $36K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:10:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $36K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Arthur Fils -3.5 games | 78% | — | 78% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 77% | 77% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 60.5% | 60.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 31% | 31% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 31% | 31% | — | not on both |
| Arthur Fils -6.5 games | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| Tomas Machac -1.5 games | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/arthur-fils-vs-tomas-machac-game-spread
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-fils-machac-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpgspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/arthur-fils-vs-tomas-machac-game-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.