# Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova: Set 2 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova: Set 2 Winner". WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova leads at 67.5%. Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova at 62.5%. $89K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T20:43:20Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $89K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 67.5% | 67.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Karolina Muchova | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-set-2-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-muchova-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtasetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-set-2-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.