# Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova: Total Games: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova: Total Games". Over 17.5 games leads at 88%. Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova at 65.5%. $28K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T18:46:20Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $28K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Over 17.5 games | 88% | — | 88% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Over 22.5 games | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| Over 27.5 games | 33% | — | 33% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-total-games
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-muchova-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtagtotal?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-total-games

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.