# Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva: Set 1 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva: Set 1 Winner". Completed Match leads at 60.5%. Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva at 58%. $24K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T15:45:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $24K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Completed Match | 60.5% | 60.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 51% | — | 51% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Mirra Andreeva | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 46% | 46% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/aryna-sabalenka-vs-mirra-andreeva-set-1-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-andreev-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtasetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-mirra-andreeva-set-1-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.