# ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli". Medvedev leads at 75.9%. Next is ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli at 68.5%. $4K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T17:45:41Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Medvedev | 75.9% | 75.5% | 77% | 1.5 pts |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 57.5% | 57.5% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Flavio Cobolli | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli in the ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group, originally scheduled for November 16, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Flavio Cobolli.

This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Daniil Medvedev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/atp-world-tour-finals-ivan-lendl-group-daniil-medvedev-vs-flavio-cobolli
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-cobolli-2026-11-16?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/atp-world-tour-finals-ivan-lendl-group-daniil-medvedev-vs-flavio-cobolli

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.