# ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils". ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils leads at 61.5%. Next is ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils at 56.5%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T23:49:31Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 61.5% | 61.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 56.5% | 56.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 50% | 50% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils | 36% | 36% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Fils in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Arthur Fils.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Ben Shelton.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/atp-world-tour-finals-john-mcenroe-group-ben-shelton-vs-arthur-fils
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-shelton-fils-2026-11-15?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/atp-world-tour-finals-john-mcenroe-group-ben-shelton-vs-arthur-fils

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.