# Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions End of Round 1 Leader: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions End of Round 1 Leader". Ben James leads at 49.5%. Next is Cam Davis at 49.5%. $5K has traded across 123 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:44:20Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ben James | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Cam Davis | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Henry Lebioda | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Tommy Morrison | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Zach Bauchou | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Peter Malnati | 28.9% | 49.5% | 7% | 42.5 pts |
| Blades Brown | 28.3% | 49.5% | 7% | 42.5 pts |
| Jackson Koivun | 28.3% | 49.5% | 7% | 42.5 pts |
| Neal Shipley | 28.3% | 49.5% | 7% | 42.5 pts |
| Chris Kirk | 28.2% | 49.5% | 6.9% | 42.6 pts |
| Andrew Novak | 27.9% | 49.5% | 6.4% | 43.1 pts |
| Doug Ghim | 27.6% | 49.5% | 5.7% | 43.8 pts |
| Casey Russell | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Chad Ramey | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Cole Sherwood | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Daniel Berger | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| David Ford | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| David Lipsky | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Davis Chatfield | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Hao-Tong Li | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Jackson Suber | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Johnny Keefer | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Jordan L. Smith | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Mac Meissner | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Marcelo Rozo | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Marco Penge | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Matthieu Pavon | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Max McGreevy | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Miles Russell | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Nicholas Lindheim | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Nick Dunlap | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Nick Taylor | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Patrick Fishburn | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Patrick Rodgers | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Patton Kizzire | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Pierceson Coody | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Pontus Nyholm | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |
| Rafael Campos | 26.5% | 49.5% | 3.5% | 46.0 pts |

Showing the top 40 of 123 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [pgatour.com](https://www.pgatour.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.pgatour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/austin-championship-presented-by-compliance-solutions-end-of-round-1-leader
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-austin-championship-third-round-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpgar1lead?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/austin-championship-presented-by-compliance-solutions-end-of-round-1-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.