# Austin Championship: Round 1 Scores: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Austin Championship: Round 1 Scores". R1: Jordan Smith under 69.5 strokes leads at 95%. Next is R1: Marco Penge under 68.5 strokes at 84%. $198K has traded across 106 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:11:40Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $198K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| R1: Jordan Smith under 69.5 strokes | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| R1: Marco Penge under 68.5 strokes | 84% | — | 84% | not on both |
| R1: David Ford under 69.5 strokes | 66% | — | 66% | not on both |
| Adam Schenk | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Adam Svensson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Adrien Saddier | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Andrew Novak | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Andrew Putnam | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Austin Smotherman | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Beau Hossler | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ben Kohles | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Billy Horschel | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Brian Harman | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Casey Russell | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Chad Ramey | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Chandler Phillips | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Chris Kirk | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Christiaan Maas | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Christo Lamprecht | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Cole Sherwood | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| David Lipsky | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Davis Riley | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Davis Thompson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Emiliano Grillo | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Emilio Gonzalez | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gordon Sargent | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hao-Tong Li | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Harry Hall | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Henry Lebioda | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Isaiah Salinda | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jackson Koivun | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jackson Suber | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jesper Svensson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Joe Highsmith | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| John Parry | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Keefer | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jordan L. Smith | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Justin Lower | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Kensei Hirata | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 106 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [pgatour.com](https://www.pgatour.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://foxsports.com), [the Governing League](https://www.pgatour.com/).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/austin-championship-round-1-scores
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-austin-championship-third-round-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpgaroundscore?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/austin-championship-round-1-scores

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.