# "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for ""Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office". 360m-400m leads at 29.9%. Next is 300m-340m at 27%. $11K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:05:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 360m-400m | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| 300m-340m | 27% | 28.5% |
| 340m-360m | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| 400m+ | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| 260m-300m | 5.7% | 6% |
| 260m | 1.4% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/avengers-doomsday-opening-weekend-box-office
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/avengers-doomsday-opening-weekend-box-office?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/avengers-doomsday-opening-weekend-box-office

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.