# AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent". At least 50% leads at 78%. Next is At least 52% at 59%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T04:12:28Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 50% | 78% | 78% |
| At least 52% | 59% | 59% |
| At least 48% | 54.5% | 54.5% |
| At least 54% | 41% | 41% |
| At least 56% | 19% | 19% |
| At least 62% | 6% | 6% |
| At least 58% | 3% | 3% |
| At least 60% | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Phoenix, AZ](https://azsos.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/az-08-house-election-abraham-hamadeh-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/az-08-house-election-abraham-hamadeh-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.