# Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria". Srdanović, Iotova leads at 17.5%. Next is Vučić, Iotova at 0.7%. $7K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:18:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2026
- Volume traded: $7K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Srdanović, Iotova | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Vučić, Iotova | 0.7% | 0.7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round.

For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642

For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/balkan-elections-combo-serbia-and-bulgaria
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/balkan-elections-combo-serbia-and-bulgaria

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.