# Bank of Thailand rate decision in December: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Bank of Thailand rate decision in December". Maintain current rate leads at 79%. Next is No change at 59.2%. $60K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:26:00Z (57 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $60K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Maintain current rate | 79% | — | 79% | not on both |
| No change | 59.2% | 64.5% | — | not on both |
| 25 bps increase | 30.9% | 25.8% | — | not on both |
| Hike 1-25bps | 7.5% | — | 7.5% | not on both |
| Cut 1-25bps | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| 50+ bps increase | 4.8% | 5.2% | — | not on both |
| 50+ bps decrease | 3.1% | 5.7% | — | not on both |
| Cut more than 25bps | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Hike more than 25bps | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| 25 bps decrease | 1.2% | 2.7% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bcentral.cl](https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financie).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Bank of Thailand](https://www.bot.or.th/en/our-roles/monetary-policy.html), [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/thailand/interest-rate).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bank-of-thailand-rate-decision-in-december
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-chile-decision-in-december-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdthailand?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bank-of-thailand-rate-decision-in-december

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.