# Barcelona vs Villarreal: Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Barcelona vs Villarreal: Spread". FC Barcelona leads at 81.5%. Next is Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals at 63%. $97K has traded across 44 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T19:43:41Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $97K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FC Barcelona | 81.5% | 81.5% | — | not on both |
| Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals | 63% | — | 63% | not on both |
| Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Villarreal CF | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 5 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 5 - 0 Villarreal CF | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 5 Villarreal CF | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 5 - 2 Villarreal CF | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 4 Villarreal CF | 22% | 22% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 5 Villarreal CF | 22% | 22% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 5 - 3 Villarreal CF | 22% | 22% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 4 - 5 Villarreal CF | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Villarreal CF | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Villarreal CF | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 5 - 4 Villarreal CF | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Villarreal CF | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Villarreal CF | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Villarreal CF | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 14% | 14% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Villarreal CF | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF) | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Villarreal CF | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Villarreal CF | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Villarreal CF | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Villarreal CF | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Villarreal CF | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Villarreal CF | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Villarreal CF | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Villarreal CF | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 2 - 5 Villarreal CF | 4% | 4% | — | not on both |
| FC Barcelona 3 - 4 Villarreal CF | 4% | 4% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 44 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [laliga.com](https://www.laliga.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [ESPN](https://espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/barcelona-vs-villarreal-spread
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-vil-2026-11-22?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligaspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/barcelona-vs-villarreal-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.