# BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026". Harry Kane leads at 76.5%. Next is Amy Hunt at 12.4%. $39K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:26:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $39K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Harry Kane | 76.5% | 75.5% |
| Amy Hunt | 12.4% | 12.2% |
| Josh Kerr | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Saffie Osborne | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Luke Littler | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Matt Weston | 1.8% | 1.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to the athlete who wins the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the winner whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bbc-sports-personality-of-the-year-winner-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bbc-sports-personality-of-the-year-winner-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bbc-sports-personality-of-the-year-winner-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.