# Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech: Game Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech: Game Spread". Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 leads at 92.5%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 at 75%. $5K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T04:55:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 92.5% | 92.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | 75% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 73.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 67.5% | 67.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Ben Shelton -3.5 games | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Arthur Rinderknech -1.5 games | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |
| Ben Shelton -6.5 games | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 15% | 15% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ben-shelton-vs-arthur-rinderknech-game-spread
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-shelton-rinderk-2026-11-05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpgspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ben-shelton-vs-arthur-rinderknech-game-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.