# Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz". Carlos Alcaraz leads at 77%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz at 63%. $7K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T22:50:03Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $7K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 63% | 63% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| Ben Shelton | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ben-shelton-vs-carlos-alcaraz
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-shelton-alcaraz-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ben-shelton-vs-carlos-alcaraz

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.